Intelligence that informs action
The Observatory is our independent center for human security analysis. We monitor, research, and anticipate the conditions that generate insecurity — producing knowledge that enables better decisions.
From data to strategic knowledge
The Observatory transforms complex, multi-source information into actionable intelligence for decision-makers who operate under uncertainty.
Continuous tracking of human security indicators across priority geographies using field data, open sources, and partner networks.
Rigorous, evidence-based analysis connecting patterns, drivers, and dynamics — moving beyond description to understanding.
Early warning systems and scenario analysis to identify emerging risks before they crystallize into crises.
Independent reports, policy briefs, and briefings that inform governments, UN agencies, and civil society organizations.
Placeholder — full interactive dashboard in development
Six domains of human security analysis
Conflict & Violence
Tracking and analyzing armed conflict, political violence, and security deterioration across fragile states and contested territories.
Forced Displacement
Monitoring displacement dynamics, refugee protection gaps, and the political economy of forced migration globally.
Food & Livelihood Security
Assessing food system fragility, famine risk, and the intersection of conflict and food insecurity.
Climate & Security
Analyzing the climate-security nexus and its implications for conflict prevention and humanitarian response.
Gender & Intersectionality
Examining how gender, age, and other factors shape differential experiences of insecurity and access to protection.
Technology & Rights
Exploring the human rights implications of digital surveillance, AI in conflict, and humanitarian technology ethics.
Latest from the Observatory
Global Human Security Index 2025
A comprehensive assessment of human security conditions across 120 countries, measuring vulnerability across five dimensions: conflict, displacement, food, health, and climate.
Sahel Crisis Trajectory: Scenarios for 2025–2027
An in-depth scenario analysis examining three possible trajectories for the Sahel security crisis, with implications for humanitarian response and regional policy.
Rethinking Protection in Hybrid Conflict
A critical examination of the limitations of existing civilian protection frameworks in contexts characterized by non-state armed groups and fragmented authority.
Climate-Security Nexus: Three Countries to Watch in 2025
Analysis of the accelerating relationship between climate stress and security fragility, with detailed country studies and actionable policy recommendations.
Protection Monitoring Report: Ukraine Q4 2024
Quarterly documentation of civilian harm and displacement trends in conflict-affected territories, based on Blue Human field data collection.
Who uses Observatory intelligence
Governments & Ministries
Foreign affairs, defense, and development ministers and their advisors
International Institutions
UN agencies, regional bodies, and multilateral development banks
Civil Society
NGOs, advocacy organizations, and human rights defenders
Researchers & Academia
Universities, think tanks, and independent scholars
Collaborate
Research partnerships and data access
We welcome collaboration with academic institutions, think tanks, and peer organizations. Contact us to discuss research partnerships, data sharing, or joint publication opportunities.